CI
Cloudflare, Inc. (NET)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong execution with accelerating growth and broad-based demand. Q3 revenue rose 31% YoY to $562.0M, non-GAAP EPS was $0.27, non-GAAP operating margin 15.3%, and free cash flow $75.0M (13% margin) . Consensus was topped on both revenue ($562.0M vs $544.9M*) and EPS ($0.27 vs $0.234*) (S&P Global).
- Momentum metrics inflected: RPO +43% YoY, CRPO +30% YoY, DBNRR 119% (+5pts QoQ), large customers >$100K reached 4,009 (23% YoY), with large customer revenue mix up to 73% .
- FY25 guidance raised across the board (revenue to $2.142–$2.143B; non-GAAP op income $297–$298M; EPS $0.91), while Q4 revenue outlook ($588.5–$589.5M) is slightly below consensus ($591.3M*) and EPS in line ($0.27 vs $0.271*) .
- Stock reaction catalysts: clear beat/raise and accelerating RPO/DBNRR offset by a modest Q4 revenue guide below consensus and near-term gross margin mix pressure as Workers and paid traffic mix evolve .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue growth re-accelerated for the second consecutive quarter to 31% YoY; non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 15.3%; FCF margin rose to 13% . CEO: “We’re shipping capabilities at an unmatched pace…builds the rails for the next decade of Internet growth.”
- Enterprise traction: large customers grew 23% YoY to 4,009; large-customer revenue mix increased to 73%; DBNRR improved to 119% (+5pts QoQ) as “pool of funds” consumption normalized .
- RPO strength: RPO reached $2.143B (+43% YoY), with cRPO at 64% of total; management sees record growth in $1M+ and $5M+ cohorts supporting expansion .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression: non-GAAP gross margin fell YoY to 75.3% (−350 bps YoY; −100 bps QoQ) due to mix (Workers growth, paid vs free traffic allocating more costs to COGS) .
- Slightly cautious Q4 top-line outlook relative to Street: revenue guide $588.5–$589.5M vs consensus $591.3M*; EPS in line at $0.27* (S&P Global).
- Leadership change: President of Product & Engineering CJ Desai to depart in November; management emphasized continuity and depth of bench but it introduces transition risk .
Financial Results
Quarterly actuals
Q3 actual vs consensus and surprise
Geography mix and growth (Q3 2025)
Key KPIs
Segment breakdown: Cloudflare does not report by operating segment; geographic mix shown above.
Guidance Changes
Note: Q4 revenue guide sits slightly below Street ($591.3M*) and EPS is in line at $0.27* (S&P Global).
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Matthew Prince (prepared remarks): “We’re shipping capabilities at an unmatched pace…builds the rails for the next decade of Internet growth.”
- CEO on momentum and customers: “We now have 4,009 large customers…revenue contribution from large customers grew 42% YoY…DBNRR was 119%.”
- CEO on AI positioning: “We estimate 80% of the leading AI companies already rely on us…we will help set the protocols, guardrails, and business rules for the agentic internet of the future.”
- CFO Thomas Seifert: “Revenue growth accelerated…to 31% YoY…gross margin 75.3%…operating margin 15.3%…RPO $2,143M (+43% YoY)…we expect revenue of $588.5–$589.5M and EPS of $0.27 in Q4; FY revenue $2,142–$2,143M and EPS $0.91; effective tax rate 20%.”
Q&A Highlights
- RPO/Pool of Funds: RPO acceleration driven by higher-quality large-customer cohorts and platform expansion; pool-of-funds now “low double digits of total ACV,” with balanced consumption; initial downward pressure on DBNRR reversing as pools are consumed .
- Sales productivity and capacity: Productivity expected to continue improving; ramped rep capacity turning up after salesforce revamp .
- Oracle OCI integration: Cloudflare to be natively available in OCI across hybrid/multi-cloud workloads, aligning to a multi-cloud future and expanding distribution .
- Capacity/GPUs: Not capacity constrained; architecture treats the network as a global scheduler; driving GPU utilization toward CPU-like 70–80% to improve TCO for inference workloads .
- AI-native exposure & concentration: AI revenue still de minimis with no customer >2% of revenue; security products often land first due to high per-query costs in AI, with inference adoption following .
- SASE GTM: Pivoting to partner-led model (learning from peers); partner unlock expected to drive growth in high-margin SASE, balancing Workers mix .
- Quantum-safe security and egress fees: Rolling out post-quantum cryptography at scale with ecosystem partners; eliminating egress fees (e.g., via R2) supports multi-cloud freedom and customer economics .
Estimates Context
- Q3 beats: Revenue $562.0M vs $544.9M*; non-GAAP EPS $0.27 vs $0.234* (both beats). Primary EPS estimates based on 28 inputs for Q3; revenue based on 29 inputs*. (S&P Global)
- Q4 guide vs Street: Revenue guide $588.5–$589.5M vs $591.3M* (slightly below); EPS guide $0.27 vs $0.271* (inline). FY25 EPS guide $0.91 roughly in line with the FY consensus $0.9135*. (S&P Global)
- Implication: Expect upward estimate revisions to FY revenue/EPS and operating income; near-term Q4 revenue consensus may tick down modestly to guidance midpoint. Management also indicated comfort with Q4 FCF consensus .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution flywheel: Two consecutive quarters of accelerating growth (28% → 31% YoY) with expanding operating leverage (11.7% → 15.3% non-GAAP OM) and rising FCF margin (11% → 13%) support the “beat-and-raise” narrative into FY-end .
- Demand durability: RPO +43% YoY and DBNRR 119% indicate strengthening expansion from large enterprises and platform breadth (Workers, SASE, Zero Trust) .
- Guide dynamics: FY25 guide raised across revenue, operating income, and EPS; Q4 revenue outlook slightly conservative vs Street while EPS is in line—sets an achievable near-term bar (potential upside from partner-led SASE and continued large-customer expansion) .
- Mix considerations: Near-term gross margin pressure from product and customer traffic mix (Workers growth, paid vs free traffic) is strategic and manageable; high-margin SASE scale can balance mix over time .
- Strategic positioning in AI: Edge inference, agentic web enablement, and AI content economics (gatekeeping, payments) reinforce a long-term moat; Cloudflare estimates it touches 80% of leading AI firms .
- GTM momentum: Productivity, capacity, and partner ecosystem are improving, with partner-initiated bookings doubling YoY and OCI-native integration expanding reach .
- Risk checks: Leadership transition (CJ Desai) and modest Q4 guide vs Street; monitor margin cadence as Workers scales and SASE channel ramps .
Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global consensus via GetEstimates.